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21 January, 2013

Stochastic Probability Theory - Pregnant Deer Scenario


Lovely theory share with me. I'm sharing for all.

Consider this scenario: In a remote forest, a pregnant deer is about to give birth to a baby. It finds a remote grass field near by a fierce river and slowly goes there thinking it would be safe. As she moves slowly, she gets labor pain, at the same moment, dark clouds gather around that area and lightning starts a forest fire. Turning left she sees a hunter who is aiming an arrow from a distance. As she tries to move towards right, she pots a hungry lion approaching towards her.

Stochastic Probability Theory - Pregnant Deer Scenario
What can the pregnant deer do ….as she is already under labor pain ?


What do you think will happen?
·        Will the deer survive ?
·        Will it give birth to a fawn ?
·        Will the fawn survive ? or
·        Will everything be burnt by the forest fire ?

That particular moment ?

Can the Deer go left ? – Hunter’s arrow is pointing

Can she go right ? – Hungry male lion approaching

Can she move up ? – Forest fire

Can she move down ? – Fierce river

Answer: She does nothing. She just focuses on giving birth to a new LIFE.
The sequence of events that happens at that fraction of a second (moment) are as follows:
In a spur of MOMENT …a lightning strikes (already it is cloudy ) and blinds the eyes of the Hunter. At that MOMENT, he releases the arrow missing and zipping past the deer. At that MOMENT the arrow hits and injures the lion badly. At that MOMENT, it starts to rain heavily and puts out the forest fire. At that next MOMENT, the deer gives birth to a healthy fawn.

In our life, it is our MOMENT of CHOICE and we all have to deal with such negative thoughts from all sides always. Some thoughts are so powerful they overpower us and make us clueless. Let us not decide anything in a hurry. Let us think of ourselves as the pregnant deer with the ultimate happy ending. Anything can happen in a MOMENT in this life. 
 
If you are religious, superstitious, atheist, agnostic… or whatever… you can attribute this MOMENT as Divine intervention, faith, sudden luck, chance (serendipity), coincidence… or a simple  ‘don’t know’. We all feel the same. But, whatever one may call it, I would see the priority of the deer in that given moment was to give birth to a baby because...LIFE IS PRECIOUS.

Hence, whether you are deer or a human, KEEP THAT FAITH AND HOPE WITHIN YOU ALWAYS.

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